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Market Commentary: Asset Returns 2-8-26
A wild week of volatile price swings set up an array of debating points on who else in tech gets damaged by the rise of AI.
11 hrs ago
•
Glenn Reynolds, CFA
Switzerland-US Trade: A Deficit that Glitters
We look at Switzerland’s moving parts as it showed outsized deficit moves in 2025 that received disproportionate Trump focus.
Feb 3
•
Glenn Reynolds, CFA
and
Kevin Chun, CFA
1
Market Commentary: Asset Returns 2-1-26
We update asset returns after a mixed month, a new Fed Chair named, erratic geopolitics, and even worse domestic political functionality.
Feb 2
•
Glenn Reynolds, CFA
1
US-Taiwan Trade: Risks Behind the Curtain
The major swing in Taiwan imports in 2025 can prove that sometimes higher trade deficits can be a good thing.
Feb 1
•
Glenn Reynolds, CFA
2
1
January 2026
Trade Deficits: Math Challenge
With a fresh rise from 2024 to a record LTM Goods trade deficit through Nov 2025, assumptions on reshoring are shaky.
Jan 30
•
Glenn Reynolds, CFA
and
Kevin Chun, CFA
3
China Trade: Shrinkage Report
We update the China-US goods trade deficit trend line and the import-export moves across the top 30 product groups.
Jan 29
•
Glenn Reynolds, CFA
and
Kevin Chun, CFA
2
Mexico Trade: Gearing up for More Trade Trouble?
We update the record trade deficit history of US-Mexico as Team Trump gears up for the USMCA review.
Jan 28
•
Glenn Reynolds, CFA
and
Kevin Chun, CFA
1
Canada-US Trade: Trump Attack N+1
More threats from Trump against Canada and antagonism of the EU makes 2026 a tense year including the pending USMCA review.
Jan 26
•
Glenn Reynolds, CFA
and
Kevin Chun, CFA
2
1
PCE Income & Outlays Nov 2025: Resilient Consumer, Higher Inflation
The PCE inflation report showed consumers outspending income growth but with an adverse move in inflation.
Jan 24
•
Glenn Reynolds, CFA
2
1
3Q25 GDP: Updated Estimate
The main story in the updated 3Q25 numbers is the steady improvement in the PCE line.
Jan 23
•
Glenn Reynolds, CFA
1
1
Industrial Production Dec 2025: CapUte Resilience
Industrial Production ended 2025 on a slightly positive note, ticking higher in Dec but declined for 4Q25.
Jan 18
•
Glenn Reynolds, CFA
1
1
Existing Home Sales Dec 2025: Getting up off the Mat?
The existing home sales numbers end 2025 on a positive note with mortgage rates back around the Sept 2024 lows.
Jan 16
•
Glenn Reynolds, CFA
2
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