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Credit Markets: Toxic Brew? New or Old Recipe? 10-13-25
We finally saw a big crack in risk pricing as China tariff headlines brought a sharp equity sell-off and spread widening.
Oct 13
•
Glenn Reynolds, CFA
The Curve: Macho Man Meets Patient Man 10-12-25
The FOMC could now be facing a fresh round of stagflation threats with China tariff risks, weaker payrolls, and a shutdown kicker.
Oct 12
•
Glenn Reynolds, CFA
Market Commentary: Asset Returns 10-11-25
We update asset returns after a Friday beatdown in equities with the return of China trade anxiety.
Oct 12
•
Glenn Reynolds, CFA
Mini Market Lookback: Event Risk Revisited 10-11-25
A week that started with shutdown variables in play ended with China trade anxiety spiking again and heightened tariff inflation fear.
Oct 11
•
Glenn Reynolds, CFA
Credit Profile: General Motors and GM Financial
We look across the moving parts of GM in what is arguably the most complex auto industry backdrop in history.
Oct 9
•
Glenn Reynolds, CFA
1
Credit Markets: The Void Begins 10-6-25
Another week of escalating chaos in US politics and a shutdown, but all is quiet on the credit spread front.
Oct 6
•
Glenn Reynolds, CFA
The Curve: Blind Man’s Bluff 10-5-25
The lack of data will not stop the White House from opining on everything, but 3Q25 earnings will help offer some infill.
Oct 6
•
Glenn Reynolds, CFA
1
Market Commentary: Asset Returns 10-4-25
A good week for equities and bonds contrasted with a shutdown and too many ticking clocks to more bad news.
Oct 5
•
Glenn Reynolds, CFA
1
Mini Market Lookback: Chess? Checkers? Set the game table on fire? 10-4-25
Life gets stranger, the market yawns. A shutdown and declaration of war on major cities in front of military leaders did not wag the market.
Oct 5
•
Glenn Reynolds, CFA
September 2025
JOLTS Aug 2025: Tough math when “total unemployed > job openings"
We may not get fresh payroll data for a while with the shutdown, but the JOLTS numbers reaffirm the employment headwinds.
Sep 30
•
Glenn Reynolds, CFA
Credit Markets: Cone of Silence Ahead? 9-29-25
Another uneventful week for spreads as the market braces for shutdown risks and questions on economic release availability.
Sep 29
•
Glenn Reynolds, CFA
The Curve: Easing Anxiety at Bat, Tariffs on Deck 9-28-25
No joy in Mudville for the mega-easing advocates on Team Trump. The clock is ticking for the new Fed head, but caution reigns for now.
Sep 29
•
Glenn Reynolds, CFA
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